The global recession risk index 2025–2026 measures where the next global economic shock will most likely turn into a full-scale emerging-market crisis. Recessions do not begin with falling GDP numbers.
Category: Foresight, Global Risks & Resilience
Trump Doctrine and World War III are increasingly connected as U.S. foreign policy shifts toward resource nationalism, regime pressure, and rejection of international legal constraints. From Venezuela and Iran to
The global growth outlook 2026 is increasingly defined by weakening momentum across major economies. Growth downgrades are emerging simultaneously across advanced and emerging regions. As a result, analysts are shifting
Oil shipping vulnerability in the Middle East is emerging as a major risk for global energy markets in 2026. In particular, this Global Economic Spotlight explains how maritime chokepoints, Red
The Eastern Mediterranean gas dispute is intensifying as overlapping EEZ claims, offshore drilling, and naval deployments collide. From Israel Lebanon maritime tensions to Turkey Cyprus disputes and Gaza’s frozen gas
Climate-induced food inflation is accelerating as climate shocks damage crops, disrupt supply chains and raise global food prices. This blog explains how heatwaves, droughts, floods and logistical breakdowns deepen shortages,
Semiconductor export controls are reshaping global chip supply and intensifying strategic competition among major powers. These restrictions influence lithography access, chip production and research capability. As nations pursue sovereignty and
Space power competition is reshaping global geopolitics as nations expand military satellites, develop anti-satellite weapons, and fight for orbital dominance. With rising militarization, mega-constellations, and growing debris risks, the race
The Pakistan Saudi Defense Partnership is entering a new era of strategic alignment shaped by regional tensions, maritime risks, and modernization needs. This blog examines military cooperation, economic gains, joint
Climate disaster and food crisis now drive global economic disruption as climate shocks intensify food inflation, undermine food security, and damage infrastructure. This analysis explores rising fiscal stress, agricultural losses,